Professor Ashwin Kumar
Professor Ashwin Kumar
Professor of Social Policy
Economist: incomes, poverty, the labour market and microsimulation modelling
My profile
Biography
I am an economist and I work on analysis and modelling of incomes, poverty, and the labour market.
I work part-time at MMU. For the remainder of the week, I am Director of Research and Policy at the Institute for Public Policy Research.
I have worked as a social policy economist for over 20 years. Prior to joining MMU, I was Chief Economist of the Joseph Rowntree Foundation. In the past, I have worked as an economic adviser to Gordon Brown, and as a Senior Economic Adviser at the Department for Work and Pensions.
Advisory roles
Advisor to the Health Foundation on dynamic microsimulation modelling
Member of the National Statistician’s Advisory Panel on Consumer Prices (Stakeholder)
Projects
Development of the Institute of Public Policy Research Tax-Benefit Model
Economic evaluation of a basic income for Scotland
Evaluation of the Greater Manchester Good Employment Charter
Good Employment Learning Lab
Achieving the Scottish Government’s child poverty targets
Comprehensive analysis of work incentives in the tax and benefit system
Modelling of the impact of changes to the Local Housing Allowance
Universal Credit, Good Work and Progression
Housing Costs and Child Poverty
Frontiers of Microsimulation
Teaching
Why study…
The Master of Public Administration (MPA) is designed to provide the intellectual foundations for students aspiring to a career in leadership of public services, whether in the public, voluntary or private sector.
Career routes to leadership in these sectors require a combination of skills: understanding the wider public service context, economics of public services, governance, accountability and performance management, and leadership, management and finance. Public service leaders must also have specialist knowledge of the services and policy areas in which they operate.
Students will be taught by academics in the Policy Evaluation Research Unit (PERU), an internationally recognised policy-research unit with expertise in models of public service delivery and policy making.
PERU members have a track record of research in the UK and Europe and links with institutions in the US and South East Asia. They are actively involved in research programmes commissioned by public service organisations, including central government departments, and many members of the unit have worked in public services at a senior or non-executive board level.
These international contacts and this practical and research experience will directly influence what students are taught, with the content of the course drawing on global public administration and policy case studies.
This means students will be learning at the cutting edge of the latest developments in public services. Students will also take advantage of a rich programme of guest lectures and opportunities for them to undertake final projects in real world settings.
The course is aimed at recent graduates and managers in public services looking to accelerate their careers. It will offer a blended delivery that is designed to ensure that people can access the course on a part-time basis, as well as full-time, to facilitate those who are combining study with working in public services
Units taught
Master of Public Administration
- Poverty and Inequality
Courses
Research outputs
Ashwin works on analysis and modelling of incomes, poverty, and the labour market.
He maintains and develops the Institute of Public Policy Research (IPPR) Tax-Benefit Model, used by the IPPR, Resolution Foundation, Joseph Rowntree Foundation, New Economics Foundation and the Legatum Institute to analyse the effects of tax and benefit policy on incomes, poverty and government costs.
Recent projects include an economic evaluation of a Citizens Basic Income for Scotland, and the evaluation of the Greater Manchester Good Employment Charter.
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Books (authored/edited/special issues)
Kumar, A., Jones, K. (2022) Idleness. Agenda Publishing.
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Reports
Edwards, P., Wong, K., Morris, S., Kumar, A. Reveal Theatre Prevent Local Delivery Impact Evaluation Scoping Report.. Manchester Metropolitan University and Ipsos Mori.
Bailey, G., Wong, K., Morris, S., Kumar, A. Kikit Pathwayz Prevent Local Delivery Impact Evaluation Scoping Report.. Manchester Metropolitan University and Ipsos Mori.
Stellmacher, D., Bailey, G., Wong, K., Morris, S., Kumar, A. Empowering Minds Mothers Against Radicalisation Prevent Local Delivery Impact Evaluation Scoping Report. Ipsos MORI and Policy Evaluation and Research Unit, Manchester Metropolitan University.
Kumar, A. (2024) Modelling the effects of changes to the Local Housing Allowance: Technical Report. Joseph Rowntree Foundation/Manchester Metropolitan University.
Harrison, J., Kumar, A., Congreve, E., Connolly, K., MacGregor, P. (2022) Modelling packages to meet Scotland’s child poverty targets: Scenarios, benefits and trade-offs. University of Strathclyde.
Congreave, E., Connolly, K., Harrison, J., Kumar, A., McGregor, P., Mitchell, M. (2021) A preliminary investigation into modelling the impact of measures to reduce child poverty in Scotland. Fraser of Allander Institute.
Kumar, A., Roy, G., McGregor, P., Connolly, K. (2020) Modelling the Economic Impact of a Citizen’s Basic Income in Scotland. Fraser of Allander Institute.
Kumar, A., Heykoop, L., Barnard, H. (2018) How could Brexit affect poverty in the UK. York: Joseph Rowntree Foundation.
Kumar, A., Barnard, H., Wenham, A., Smith, E., Drake, B., Collingwood, A., Leese, D. (2017) UK Poverty 2017. York: Joseph Rowntree Foundation.
Kumar, A., Ussher, K., Hunter, P. (2014) Wealth of our nation: rethinking policies for wealth distribution. London: The Smith Institute.
Kumar, A., Ussher, K., Rotik, M. (2014) Pay progression: understanding the barriers for the lowest paid. London: Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development.
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Journal articles
Congreve, E., Connolly, K., Harrison, J., Kumar, A., McGregor, P.G., Mitchell, M. (2024) 'The impact of using an income supplement to meet child poverty targets: evidence from Scotland.' Journal of Social Policy, pp. 1-17.
Connolly, K., Eiser, D., Kumar, A., McGregor, P.G., Roy, G. (2024) 'A micro-macro-economic modelling approach to major welfare system reforms: The case of a Universal Basic Income for Scotland.' Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 68pp. 259-268.
Connolly, K., Eiser, D., Kumar, A., McGregor, P.G., Roy, G. (2021) 'Universal Basic Income as an instrument of regional development policy: a micro–macroeconomic analysis for Scotland.' Regional Studies, 56(6) pp. 1043-1055.
Career history
2019 to date
Professor of Social Policy, Policy Evaluation Research Unit, Manchester Metropolitan University
2016 to 2019
Chief Economist, Joseph Rowntree Foundation
2012 to 2016
Director, Liverpool Economics
2011 to 2012
Economic Advisor to Gordon Brown, former Prime Minister
2007 to 2011
Passenger Director, Passenger Focus (now Transport Focus)
2005 to 2007
Deputy Director, Housing Research and Analysis, Department for Work and Pensions
2002 to 2005
Head of Model Development, Department for Work and Pensions
2000 to 2002
Team Leader, Pensim2 Development, Department for Work and Pensions